Sunday, October 20, 2013

Geo 365: Oct. 20, Day 293: Evacuation Route?

This is the "evacuation plan" in the event of a great Cascadia Subduction Zone earthquake (North is to the top, in the map.) on  the south shore of Yaquina Bay. Newport proper is on the north side, and aside from Oldtown and the port, largely built on an elevated marine terrace. People near the shore there- and it is a very congested work and tourism area- can quickly and easily walk up the hill to safety. The south shore, though, is built upon unconsolidated sediments that have accumulated since the Pleistocene-Holocene boundary, when sea levels rose roughly 100 meters as the great continental icecaps melted back. As such, it's low and flat- it's attractive for building and development, but highly at risk in case of a significant tsunami.

Now under normal circumstances, it would be only a few minutes to hop in one's car and zoom off to high ground. But many, if not most, bridges along the coast are not seismically fit and are likely to collapse. Access to the north likely simply won't be there. There are hills to the south, but traffic will almost certainly be in a panicked snarl, and it's too far to walk. So as illustrated above (and on page 31 of this PDF), the thousands of people present in this area, including those at Hatfield Marine Science Center, the Oregon Coast Aquarium, and now the Marine Operations Headquarters for NOAA, along with dozens of small businesses and shops (Rogue Brewers is on the water north of the evac route), are supposed to high-tail it to a small hill- which doesn't look like it tops 50 feet- along the southern ramp of the Bay Bridge. As the sign explains, it's a 14 minute walk to "safe haven hill," and the first wave may arrive as quickly as 15 minutes.

My personal evacuation plan, therefore, is not to be here when the big one hits. Seriously. Since visiting this display last spring, this area has suddenly become one of fear for me. It may be over-reaction, but the entire development looks like a death trap to me. I'm sure I'll visit it again, from time to time, but I'll never feel comfortable there.

Photo unmodified. May 6, 2013. FlashEarth location.

Followup: 2:30 PM- Just looking at the photo more carefully, I realized elevations are noted in various spots. (You'll need to look at the full-size version of the photo to make them out.) They're not noted in any key that I see, nor are they explicitly labeled as elevations, but I see no other possibility for what those numbers mean. "Safe haven hill" is supposed to be 69 feet elevation, and I consider 50 feet (based on the tsunami in Tohoku, Japan) to be a worst-case scenario. Furthermore, the whole area around the south causeway up to the bridge is pretty well up there, and getting to that area looks significantly quicker than "14 minutes to safety" estimate on the sign. From there, it looks like you could go right up the side of the hill. So long and short, I feel significantly better about the situation now than I did this morning when I wrote this post.Still, the sheer number of people that will need to cram into that small area is daunting. Note there's a small residential neighborhood on the west side of the hill, too!

Saturday, October 19, 2013

Saturd80's: Legal Tender

I've had this earworm stuck in my head for two or three days now, and thought I'd share. You're welcome.

Like many of the late seventies/early eighties New Wave bands (such as REM, also from Athens, GA), B-52's gradually transformed to more of a pop sound as they matured, but retained enough of their original quirkiness to avoid becoming bland. Roam:

Trism:

Geo 365: Oct. 19, Day 292: Crater Lake Sunset

As the last little bit of sunlight pours over Merriam Point, Wizard Island is almost invisible, dark against the shaded caldera wall. Hillman Peak and The Watchman stand guard for the evening, and we bid farewell to Crater Lake.

Photo run through Paint.Net's autolevel routine to better saturate color & increase contrast. August 18, 2011. FlashEarth location.

Friday, October 18, 2013

Geo 365: Oct. 18, Day 291: Fire on the Deep

Sunset from the northeastern rim of Crater lake is a thing to behold. Sun Notch on the right and Kerr Notch on the left are the low points on the southern rim. Dutton Cliff is lit up as if by incandescent lava, and while small in this view, the lighting of the Phantom ship is also quite dramatic. This was a long, but good, day.

Photo run through Paint.Net's autolevel routine to better saturate color & increase contrast. August 18, 2011. FlashEarth location.

Followup: Just started my reading, and The Oregonian has posted a photo essay of 45 historic photos from Crater Lake, some from even before its inauguration as a National Park in 1902.

Thursday, October 17, 2013

Geo 365: Oct. 17, Day 290: Cloudcap

Cloudcap is the high point on Crater Lake's eastern rim. If you look at the full-size image, there are a lot of interesting features in the slope below it, including what look like tuff deposits and one or more dikes. Once again, Mount Scott looms in the background to the left.


Photo unmodified. August 18, 2011. FlashEarth location.

Wednesday, October 16, 2013

Geo 365: Oct. 16, Day 289: Looking Northeast

Looking northeast from somewhere on Crater Lake's eastern rim, the low mound on the far middle horizon is the shield of Newberry Volcano- the high point right in the middle is almost certainly Paulina Peak. You can also get a sense of the flat, gentle-gradient plain of the feature I refer to as the "east side apron." The apron has formed because deposition rates of pumice and ash from High Cascades eruptions exceeds rates of erosion and incision in most places.


Photo run through Paint.Net's autolevel routine for haze and contrast. August 18, 2011. Location unknown, beyond as described in text.

Tuesday, October 15, 2013

Geo 365: Oct. 15, Day 288: Mount Scott Summit

Looking a bit to the left of yesterday's photo, this is the summit of Mount Scott. It's a significant edifice in its own right, the highest spot in CLNP, and according to Wikipedia, at 8934 feet, the tenth highest peak in the Oregon Cascades. I have a bit of a problem with the article referring to it as a "parasitic" volcano, though. Since we don't know the layout of the pre-caldera Mount Mazama, we don't know the relationship between its summit(s), and Mount Scott. In the same way I don't think of Broken Top as a parasitic cone with respect to Three Sisters (map showing relationship between those four peaks), I'm not convinced it's accurate to think of Mount Scott as a parasitic cone with respect to Mount Mazama.

We're looking into what appears to be a cirque on the north side of the peak. It seems even more clear-cut in the FlashEarth view (which is again, lke yesterday's, my best guess as to where we were).

Photo unmodified. August 18, 2011. FlashEarth location.

Monday, October 14, 2013

Geo 365: Oct. 14, Day 287: Mt. Scott, West Flank

Looking roughly south to the western flank of Mount Scott, I'm guessing that smooth, conical section on the right is a remnant of the stratovolcano's original form, before it was glacially dissected. I've just wasted an hour trying to figure out exactly where we were when I took this photo, and have to admit, my generally good "place memory" has failed me completely. I take the FlashEarth Location quite seriously, but today's is my best guess, and NOT what I was recalling.

Photo unmodified.. August 18, 2011. FlashEarth location.